Navigating Currency Risk – The Impact of Black Monday 2024 on Yen Carry Trades and Bank FX Exposures
Japan’s 2024 “Black Monday” crash shook global markets after the Bank of Japan’s surprise rate hike and unwinding of yen carry trades. Could this signal a new era of global market volatility?
At a glance
Countries Focused
Japan, U.S.A, Malaysia
Phenomenon
Black Monday
Year
2024
Focus
Foreign Trading, Interest Rate Parity
Abstract
On August 5, 2024, Japan’s “Black Monday” rattled global markets when the Bank of Japan unexpectedly raised interest rates for the first time in 17 years. The move upended decades of reliance on the yen as the world’s cheapest funding currency, triggering the unwinding of trillions in carry trades, a historic Nikkei 225 sell-off, and sharp yen appreciation that rippled across Wall Street and Asian markets.
This case study traces the crisis back to diverging monetary policies, speculative bets, and structural weaknesses in Japan’s economy. The collapse of the yen carry trade revealed the fragility of global finance, with the U.S. dollar plunging 8.5% and Malaysia’s KLCI falling nearly 5% in a single day. At the center was Maybank Berhad, Malaysia’s largest bank, whose forex exposures and hedging strategies were put to the test. Despite nearly RM700 million in translation losses, Maybank’s mix of natural hedging and derivatives highlights how multinational banks navigate sudden financial shocks.
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